Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration models and international agencies indicate a high-pressure system dominating the region on September 22, with mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and low afternoon humidity supporting efficient daytime heating. Multiple model runs converge on maximum temperatures of 27–28 °C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, consistent with the market’s 50 % and 30 % implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Typical late-September climatology for the area features highs near 25 °C, so the current setup represents modestly above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on the afternoon peak. Updated model guidance later today could refine the exact maximum by 1 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?
28°C 51%
27°C 29%
29°C 11%
26°C 9%
$18,986 Wol.
$18,986 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
9%
27°C
29%
28°C
51%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 29%
29°C 11%
26°C 9%
$18,986 Wol.
$18,986 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
9%
27°C
29%
28°C
51%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration models and international agencies indicate a high-pressure system dominating the region on September 22, with mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and low afternoon humidity supporting efficient daytime heating. Multiple model runs converge on maximum temperatures of 27–28 °C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, consistent with the market’s 50 % and 30 % implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Typical late-September climatology for the area features highs near 25 °C, so the current setup represents modestly above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on the afternoon peak. Updated model guidance later today could refine the exact maximum by 1 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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