Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 97–99°F for Austin on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon storm chance supporting the market's leading 96–97°F (56.5%) and 98–99°F (37.5%) bins. These outcomes align with typical late-September climatology under weak high pressure, where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s before any moisture or cloud cover limits further rise. Heat index values may reach 105–107°F, but official dry-bulb readings determine resolution. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping lower-probability tails for 94–95°F or 100°F+ at under 6% each until new observational data arrives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 23?
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 38%
94-95°F 5%
100-101°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 38%
94-95°F 5%
100-101°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
89°F or below
$278 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$438 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$593 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$544 Wol.
5%
96-97°F
$2,383 Wol.
57%
98-99°F
$867 Wol.
38%
100-101°F
$555 Wol.
3%
102-103°F
$77 Wol.
2%
104-105°F
$668 Wol.
<1%
106-107°F
$95 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$95 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 97–99°F for Austin on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon storm chance supporting the market's leading 96–97°F (56.5%) and 98–99°F (37.5%) bins. These outcomes align with typical late-September climatology under weak high pressure, where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s before any moisture or cloud cover limits further rise. Heat index values may reach 105–107°F, but official dry-bulb readings determine resolution. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping lower-probability tails for 94–95°F or 100°F+ at under 6% each until new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,593Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 97–99°F for Austin on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon storm chance supporting the market's leading 96–97°F (56.5%) and 98–99°F (37.5%) bins. These outcomes align with typical late-September climatology under weak high pressure, where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s before any moisture or cloud cover limits further rise. Heat index values may reach 105–107°F, but official dry-bulb readings determine resolution. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping lower-probability tails for 94–95°F or 100°F+ at under 6% each until new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,593Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 97–99°F for Austin on September 23, with partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon storm chance supporting the market's leading 96–97°F (56.5%) and 98–99°F (37.5%) bins. These outcomes align with typical late-September climatology under weak high pressure, where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s before any moisture or cloud cover limits further rise. Heat index values may reach 105–107°F, but official dry-bulb readings determine resolution. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping lower-probability tails for 94–95°F or 100°F+ at under 6% each until new observational data arrives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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