Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 98°F at Dallas/Fort Worth on September 23, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits from an extended dry spell, supported temperatures 11°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 87°F despite a modest cooldown from earlier September peaks exceeding 100°F. Model consensus had converged on this range in the days prior, with minimal forecast spread once steering flow and subsidence patterns stabilized. Only an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary station could have shifted the outcome, though historical analogs for the date show 98°F has occurred before without reaching the prior record of 100°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on September 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 23?
98-99°F 100%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$53,933 Wol.
$53,933 Wol.
Sep 23, 2026
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$53,933 Wol.
$53,933 Wol.
Sep 23, 2026
85°F or below
$95 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$95 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$265 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$4,088 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$7,270 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$19,246 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$11,581 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$6,313 Wol.
Yes
100-101°F
$3,058 Wol.
No
102-103°F
$1,104 Wol.
No
104°F or higher
$819 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 98°F at Dallas/Fort Worth on September 23, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits from an extended dry spell, supported temperatures 11°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 87°F despite a modest cooldown from earlier September peaks exceeding 100°F. Model consensus had converged on this range in the days prior, with minimal forecast spread once steering flow and subsidence patterns stabilized. Only an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary station could have shifted the outcome, though historical analogs for the date show 98°F has occurred before without reaching the prior record of 100°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,933Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 98°F at Dallas/Fort Worth on September 23, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits from an extended dry spell, supported temperatures 11°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 87°F despite a modest cooldown from earlier September peaks exceeding 100°F. Model consensus had converged on this range in the days prior, with minimal forecast spread once steering flow and subsidence patterns stabilized. Only an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary station could have shifted the outcome, though historical analogs for the date show 98°F has occurred before without reaching the prior record of 100°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,933Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations confirm a daily maximum of 98°F at Dallas/Fort Worth on September 23, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits from an extended dry spell, supported temperatures 11°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 87°F despite a modest cooldown from earlier September peaks exceeding 100°F. Model consensus had converged on this range in the days prior, with minimal forecast spread once steering flow and subsidence patterns stabilized. Only an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary station could have shifted the outcome, though historical analogs for the date show 98°F has occurred before without reaching the prior record of 100°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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