Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a deepening marine layer under southwest flow and lingering effects from a passing cut-off low that has kept overnight readings near 57°F in recent days. This pattern favors the market's leading 58-59°F bin as traders weigh model consensus on modest nocturnal cooling before a ridge builds and compresses the marine layer later in the week. Historical September lows average near 56°F, with recent observations showing limited overnight drops due to persistent cloud cover and onshore winds, though any faster clearing could push readings toward 60°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 22?
58-59°F 64%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 18%
52-53°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
51°F or below
7%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
45%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
5%
70°F or higher
5%
58-59°F 64%
60-61°F 23%
56-57°F 18%
52-53°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
51°F or below
$10 Wol.
7%
52-53°F
$58 Wol.
11%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
11%
56-57°F
$71 Wol.
18%
58-59°F
$94 Wol.
45%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
23%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
9%
64-65°F
$10 Wol.
11%
66-67°F
$10 Wol.
7%
68-69°F
$10 Wol.
5%
70°F or higher
$10 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a deepening marine layer under southwest flow and lingering effects from a passing cut-off low that has kept overnight readings near 57°F in recent days. This pattern favors the market's leading 58-59°F bin as traders weigh model consensus on modest nocturnal cooling before a ridge builds and compresses the marine layer later in the week. Historical September lows average near 56°F, with recent observations showing limited overnight drops due to persistent cloud cover and onshore winds, though any faster clearing could push readings toward 60°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$273Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a deepening marine layer under southwest flow and lingering effects from a passing cut-off low that has kept overnight readings near 57°F in recent days. This pattern favors the market's leading 58-59°F bin as traders weigh model consensus on modest nocturnal cooling before a ridge builds and compresses the marine layer later in the week. Historical September lows average near 56°F, with recent observations showing limited overnight drops due to persistent cloud cover and onshore winds, though any faster clearing could push readings toward 60°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$273Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 22, driven by a deepening marine layer under southwest flow and lingering effects from a passing cut-off low that has kept overnight readings near 57°F in recent days. This pattern favors the market's leading 58-59°F bin as traders weigh model consensus on modest nocturnal cooling before a ridge builds and compresses the marine layer later in the week. Historical September lows average near 56°F, with recent observations showing limited overnight drops due to persistent cloud cover and onshore winds, though any faster clearing could push readings toward 60°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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