**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
1°C or below 89%
11°C or higher 89%
3°C 40%
2°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
89%
2°C
39%
3°C
40%
4°C
21%
5°C
23%
6°C
21%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C or higher
89%
1°C or below 89%
11°C or higher 89%
3°C 40%
2°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
$0 Wol.
89%
2°C
$0 Wol.
39%
3°C
$0 Wol.
40%
4°C
$0 Wol.
21%
5°C
$0 Wol.
23%
6°C
$0 Wol.
21%
7°C
$0 Wol.
39%
8°C
$0 Wol.
39%
9°C
$0 Wol.
39%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C or higher
$0 Wol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus points to a minimum near 7–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwesterly flow of cooler, drier air behind a recent frontal passage.** Stronger winds overnight (10–15 mph) will limit radiative cooling, while mostly clear skies could allow modest temperature drops, yet not to the sub-5°C levels implied by the 47% probability on 1°C or below. Conversely, any delay in the cold-air advection or increased cloud cover would support readings at or above 11°C, consistent with the near-even 45.5% on that outcome. Ensemble spreads in global models remain wide due to variable steering patterns and the transitional springtime regime, keeping specific bins like 5–7°C clustered around 20–22% implied probability. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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