Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 partisan voter index, reflecting the area’s rural, conservative base across more than half the state. As incumbent, Mann secured 81 percent in the August Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus roughly $40,000 for Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold. These structural factors underpin trader consensus near 94 percent for a Republican victory. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results and the district’s consistent partisan lean make such shifts unlikely absent extraordinary developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$17,702 Wol.
$17,702 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
6%
$17,702 Wol.
$17,702 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
$6,237 Wol.
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
$11,466 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 partisan voter index, reflecting the area’s rural, conservative base across more than half the state. As incumbent, Mann secured 81 percent in the August Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus roughly $40,000 for Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold. These structural factors underpin trader consensus near 94 percent for a Republican victory. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results and the district’s consistent partisan lean make such shifts unlikely absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,702Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 partisan voter index, reflecting the area’s rural, conservative base across more than half the state. As incumbent, Mann secured 81 percent in the August Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus roughly $40,000 for Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold. These structural factors underpin trader consensus near 94 percent for a Republican victory. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results and the district’s consistent partisan lean make such shifts unlikely absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$17,702Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+16 partisan voter index, reflecting the area’s rural, conservative base across more than half the state. As incumbent, Mann secured 81 percent in the August Republican primary and enters the November 3 general election with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus roughly $40,000 for Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold. These structural factors underpin trader consensus near 94 percent for a Republican victory. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical results and the district’s consistent partisan lean make such shifts unlikely absent extraordinary developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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