Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 14?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,535 Wol.
$43,535 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,535 Wol.
$43,535 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
89°F or below
$365 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$690 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$235 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$684 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$4,392 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$13,469 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$13,536 Wol.
Yes
102-103°F
$7,144 Wol.
No
104-105°F
$2,154 Wol.
No
106-107°F
$704 Wol.
No
108°F or higher
$161 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,535Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$43,535Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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