**Trader consensus has converged on a 96-97°F high for Austin on September 19, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observations and forecast model agreement showing a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. National Weather Service and airport station data, including preliminary climatological reports from Austin-Bergstrom, aligned with afternoon peaks near 96°F, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where September averages hover around 90°F but recent conditions have sustained upper-90s readings. The market reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than models alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision from the primary observing site or an unrecognized data discrepancy, though multi-source convergence makes significant shifts improbable at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 19?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$14,004 Wol.
$14,004 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$14,004 Wol.
$14,004 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
$111 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$149 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$296 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$269 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,118 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$4,217 Wol.
100%
98-99°F
$3,945 Wol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,571 Wol.
<1%
102-103°F
$668 Wol.
<1%
104-105°F
$629 Wol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$31 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 96-97°F high for Austin on September 19, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observations and forecast model agreement showing a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. National Weather Service and airport station data, including preliminary climatological reports from Austin-Bergstrom, aligned with afternoon peaks near 96°F, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where September averages hover around 90°F but recent conditions have sustained upper-90s readings. The market reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than models alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision from the primary observing site or an unrecognized data discrepancy, though multi-source convergence makes significant shifts improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,004Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 96-97°F high for Austin on September 19, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observations and forecast model agreement showing a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. National Weather Service and airport station data, including preliminary climatological reports from Austin-Bergstrom, aligned with afternoon peaks near 96°F, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where September averages hover around 90°F but recent conditions have sustained upper-90s readings. The market reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than models alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision from the primary observing site or an unrecognized data discrepancy, though multi-source convergence makes significant shifts improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,004Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 96-97°F high for Austin on September 19, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observations and forecast model agreement showing a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. National Weather Service and airport station data, including preliminary climatological reports from Austin-Bergstrom, aligned with afternoon peaks near 96°F, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern where September averages hover around 90°F but recent conditions have sustained upper-90s readings. The market reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements rather than models alone. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision from the primary observing site or an unrecognized data discrepancy, though multi-source convergence makes significant shifts improbable at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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