Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 17 point to a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F. East-southeast winds and increased Gulf moisture are expected to boost cloud cover, limiting peak heating compared to the 100°F+ readings observed the prior day. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which could shave several degrees off the maximum if storms develop earlier. This setup sits well above the late-September climatological average of around 91°F, with traders weighing the balance between lingering heat and moderating moisture ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 17?
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
2%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
$100 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$0 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$8 Wol.
8%
94-95°F
$96 Wol.
18%
96-97°F
$82 Wol.
37%
98-99°F
$135 Wol.
35%
100-101°F
$168 Wol.
9%
102-103°F
$0 Wol.
2%
104°F or higher
$684 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 17 point to a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F. East-southeast winds and increased Gulf moisture are expected to boost cloud cover, limiting peak heating compared to the 100°F+ readings observed the prior day. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which could shave several degrees off the maximum if storms develop earlier. This setup sits well above the late-September climatological average of around 91°F, with traders weighing the balance between lingering heat and moderating moisture ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,271Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 17 point to a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F. East-southeast winds and increased Gulf moisture are expected to boost cloud cover, limiting peak heating compared to the 100°F+ readings observed the prior day. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which could shave several degrees off the maximum if storms develop earlier. This setup sits well above the late-September climatological average of around 91°F, with traders weighing the balance between lingering heat and moderating moisture ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,271Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 17 point to a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F. East-southeast winds and increased Gulf moisture are expected to boost cloud cover, limiting peak heating compared to the 100°F+ readings observed the prior day. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which could shave several degrees off the maximum if storms develop earlier. This setup sits well above the late-September climatological average of around 91°F, with traders weighing the balance between lingering heat and moderating moisture ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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