Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F high in New York City on September 19 due to National Weather Service forecasts and model runs projecting a peak near 71-72°F under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow. This aligns with observed conditions including morning temperatures in the mid-60s and limited diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 5-10 mph. Historical September averages near 75°F provide context for the slightly cooler pattern driven by recent upstream air masses. Uncertainties remain around afternoon clearing or localized warming that could push readings into the low 70s, though official guidance and real-time observations indicate low probability of exceeding the 70-71°F bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on September 19?
70-71°F 93%
72-73°F 4%
74-75°F 2.3%
76-77°F <1%
$42,763 Wol.
$42,763 Wol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
93%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 93%
72-73°F 4%
74-75°F 2.3%
76-77°F <1%
$42,763 Wol.
$42,763 Wol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
93%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F high in New York City on September 19 due to National Weather Service forecasts and model runs projecting a peak near 71-72°F under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow. This aligns with observed conditions including morning temperatures in the mid-60s and limited diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 5-10 mph. Historical September averages near 75°F provide context for the slightly cooler pattern driven by recent upstream air masses. Uncertainties remain around afternoon clearing or localized warming that could push readings into the low 70s, though official guidance and real-time observations indicate low probability of exceeding the 70-71°F bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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