Trader sentiment centers on Miami, FL as the leading outcome at 94% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts showing 40-70% precipitation chances across central and south Florida today from sea-breeze convergence, an approaching upper-level low, and deep moisture supporting scattered thunderstorms with potential for measurable rainfall of 1-3 inches locally. In contrast, drier conditions prevail across the Northeast and much of the South under mostly sunny skies with low PoP, while scattered showers affect parts of the Midwest and Rockies. Resolution depends on official NWS Daily Climate Reports confirming measurable precipitation (at least 0.01 inch) at specific stations. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations could refine local intensity before markets close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will it rain on September 18?
New York, NY
2%
Los Angeles, CA
1%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
25%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
1%
Philadelphia, PA
25%
Denver, CO
61%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
18%
Miami, FL
77%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
2%
New Orleans, LA
25%
San Francisco, CA
4%
$1,609 Wol.
New York, NY
2%
Los Angeles, CA
1%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
25%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
1%
Philadelphia, PA
25%
Denver, CO
61%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
18%
Miami, FL
77%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
2%
New Orleans, LA
25%
San Francisco, CA
4%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment centers on Miami, FL as the leading outcome at 94% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts showing 40-70% precipitation chances across central and south Florida today from sea-breeze convergence, an approaching upper-level low, and deep moisture supporting scattered thunderstorms with potential for measurable rainfall of 1-3 inches locally. In contrast, drier conditions prevail across the Northeast and much of the South under mostly sunny skies with low PoP, while scattered showers affect parts of the Midwest and Rockies. Resolution depends on official NWS Daily Climate Reports confirming measurable precipitation (at least 0.01 inch) at specific stations. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations could refine local intensity before markets close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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