The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 12?
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,562 Wol.
$37,562 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,562 Wol.
$37,562 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
$389 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$438 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$1,232 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$1,133 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$6,159 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$9,556 Wol.
Yes
102-103°F
$10,379 Wol.
No
104-105°F
$5,056 Wol.
No
106-107°F
$2,523 Wol.
No
108-109°F
$276 Wol.
No
110°F or higher
$421 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,562Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37,562Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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