Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote in the open race triggered by the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around her 96.7 percent implied probability against Republican Jonathan Chavez. Clark’s fundraising edge, established party support, and the absence of a contested GOP primary have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, health developments affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGA-13 House Election Winner
$39,455 Wol.
$39,455 Wol.
Jasmine Clark (D)
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
3%
$39,455 Wol.
$39,455 Wol.
Jasmine Clark (D)
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th congressional district after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote in the open race triggered by the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around her 96.7 percent implied probability against Republican Jonathan Chavez. Clark’s fundraising edge, established party support, and the absence of a contested GOP primary have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected scandals, health developments affecting either candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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