Fiona Ma advanced from California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary as the leading Democratic candidate with 19.1% of the vote, ahead of Republican Gloria Romero at 17.8% and other Democrats including Josh Fryday and Michael Tubbs. In the heavily Democratic state, Ma consolidated support through endorsements from labor unions, constitutional officers, and a majority of the legislature, leveraging her record as state treasurer. Romero, a former Democratic Senate majority leader who switched parties in 2024, advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural disadvantages in a general election where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Ma reflects this partisan baseline and Ma's primary strength, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still affect the November 3 outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCalifornia Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
Fiona Ma 95%
Rakesh Christian 1.9%
Josh Fryday 1.5%
Janelle Kellman 1.4%
$30,692 Wol.
$30,692 Wol.
Fiona Ma
95%
Rakesh Christian
2%
Josh Fryday
2%
Janelle Kellman
1%
Ebie Lynch
1%
Oliver Ma
1%
David Fennell
1%
Jeyson Lopez
1%
Michael Tubbs
1%
Sean Collinson
<1%
David Collenberg
<1%
Fiona Ma 95%
Rakesh Christian 1.9%
Josh Fryday 1.5%
Janelle Kellman 1.4%
$30,692 Wol.
$30,692 Wol.
Fiona Ma
95%
Rakesh Christian
2%
Josh Fryday
2%
Janelle Kellman
1%
Ebie Lynch
1%
Oliver Ma
1%
David Fennell
1%
Jeyson Lopez
1%
Michael Tubbs
1%
Sean Collinson
<1%
David Collenberg
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Fiona Ma advanced from California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary as the leading Democratic candidate with 19.1% of the vote, ahead of Republican Gloria Romero at 17.8% and other Democrats including Josh Fryday and Michael Tubbs. In the heavily Democratic state, Ma consolidated support through endorsements from labor unions, constitutional officers, and a majority of the legislature, leveraging her record as state treasurer. Romero, a former Democratic Senate majority leader who switched parties in 2024, advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural disadvantages in a general election where Democratic candidates routinely secure wide margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Ma reflects this partisan baseline and Ma's primary strength, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still affect the November 3 outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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