US military actions against Venezuela peaked with the January 2026 special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro, followed by ongoing naval presence, targeted strikes on drug-related targets, and an oil blockade that secured American stakes in Venezuelan fields. The interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has engaged in talks on judicial reform and oil production deals, including a 35% US interest in key reserves announced in late August 2026, while receiving humanitarian support after recent earthquakes. These developments have produced trader consensus on low odds for a full-scale invasion by year-end, as leverage through sanctions, diplomacy, and resource agreements appears to have met core US objectives without requiring territorial control or broader offensive operations. Scheduled opposition-government negotiations and potential election timelines could further stabilize relations or introduce new frictions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,196,270 Vol.
2026/03/30
12月31日
3%
$14,196,270 Vol.
12月31日
$240,262 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military actions against Venezuela peaked with the January 2026 special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro, followed by ongoing naval presence, targeted strikes on drug-related targets, and an oil blockade that secured American stakes in Venezuelan fields. The interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has engaged in talks on judicial reform and oil production deals, including a 35% US interest in key reserves announced in late August 2026, while receiving humanitarian support after recent earthquakes. These developments have produced trader consensus on low odds for a full-scale invasion by year-end, as leverage through sanctions, diplomacy, and resource agreements appears to have met core US objectives without requiring territorial control or broader offensive operations. Scheduled opposition-government negotiations and potential election timelines could further stabilize relations or introduce new frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
音量
$14,196,270終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military actions against Venezuela peaked with the January 2026 special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro, followed by ongoing naval presence, targeted strikes on drug-related targets, and an oil blockade that secured American stakes in Venezuelan fields. The interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has engaged in talks on judicial reform and oil production deals, including a 35% US interest in key reserves announced in late August 2026, while receiving humanitarian support after recent earthquakes. These developments have produced trader consensus on low odds for a full-scale invasion by year-end, as leverage through sanctions, diplomacy, and resource agreements appears to have met core US objectives without requiring territorial control or broader offensive operations. Scheduled opposition-government negotiations and potential election timelines could further stabilize relations or introduce new frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
音量
$14,196,270終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...US military actions against Venezuela peaked with the January 2026 special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro, followed by ongoing naval presence, targeted strikes on drug-related targets, and an oil blockade that secured American stakes in Venezuelan fields. The interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has engaged in talks on judicial reform and oil production deals, including a 35% US interest in key reserves announced in late August 2026, while receiving humanitarian support after recent earthquakes. These developments have produced trader consensus on low odds for a full-scale invasion by year-end, as leverage through sanctions, diplomacy, and resource agreements appears to have met core US objectives without requiring territorial control or broader offensive operations. Scheduled opposition-government negotiations and potential election timelines could further stabilize relations or introduce new frictions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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