Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, which began with strikes in February 2026 and featured a June memorandum of understanding that expired without a final deal in August, center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian nuclear and missile capabilities, and sanctions relief. Renewed US airstrikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in southern Iran began on September 1, 2026, following alleged Iranian threats to shipping and US forces, with further exchanges reported into early September. President Trump has emphasized economic measures like expanded sanctions alongside limited military action rather than seeking congressional authorization for formal war. Historical precedent shows US presidents conducting extended operations without declarations of war, while upcoming midterm election pressures and global energy market impacts add constraints. Trader consensus reflects these barriers and the preference for calibrated responses over escalation to declared war.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$7,815,094 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
2%
$7,815,094 Vol.
12月31日
$842,459 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, which began with strikes in February 2026 and featured a June memorandum of understanding that expired without a final deal in August, center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian nuclear and missile capabilities, and sanctions relief. Renewed US airstrikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in southern Iran began on September 1, 2026, following alleged Iranian threats to shipping and US forces, with further exchanges reported into early September. President Trump has emphasized economic measures like expanded sanctions alongside limited military action rather than seeking congressional authorization for formal war. Historical precedent shows US presidents conducting extended operations without declarations of war, while upcoming midterm election pressures and global energy market impacts add constraints. Trader consensus reflects these barriers and the preference for calibrated responses over escalation to declared war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
音量
$7,815,094終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, which began with strikes in February 2026 and featured a June memorandum of understanding that expired without a final deal in August, center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian nuclear and missile capabilities, and sanctions relief. Renewed US airstrikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in southern Iran began on September 1, 2026, following alleged Iranian threats to shipping and US forces, with further exchanges reported into early September. President Trump has emphasized economic measures like expanded sanctions alongside limited military action rather than seeking congressional authorization for formal war. Historical precedent shows US presidents conducting extended operations without declarations of war, while upcoming midterm election pressures and global energy market impacts add constraints. Trader consensus reflects these barriers and the preference for calibrated responses over escalation to declared war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$7,815,094終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, which began with strikes in February 2026 and featured a June memorandum of understanding that expired without a final deal in August, center on control of the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian nuclear and missile capabilities, and sanctions relief. Renewed US airstrikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in southern Iran began on September 1, 2026, following alleged Iranian threats to shipping and US forces, with further exchanges reported into early September. President Trump has emphasized economic measures like expanded sanctions alongside limited military action rather than seeking congressional authorization for formal war. Historical precedent shows US presidents conducting extended operations without declarations of war, while upcoming midterm election pressures and global energy market impacts add constraints. Trader consensus reflects these barriers and the preference for calibrated responses over escalation to declared war.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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