Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Strava IPO決算時価総額
Strava IPO決算時価総額
20億～30億ドル 30%
20億ドル未満 9.7%
40億～50億ドル 10%
30億〜40億ドル 8.3%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
2027/12/31
20億ドル未満
10%
20億～30億ドル
30%
30億〜40億ドル
8%
40億～50億ドル
10%
50億～70億ドル
5%
70億～100億ドル
22%
100億〜150億
5%
150億ドル以上
4%
2028年以前にIPOなし
7%
20億～30億ドル 30%
20億ドル未満 9.7%
40億～50億ドル 10%
30億〜40億ドル 8.3%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
2027/12/31
20億ドル未満
$949 Vol.
10%
20億～30億ドル
$54,521 Vol.
30%
30億〜40億ドル
$27,756 Vol.
8%
40億～50億ドル
$1,395 Vol.
10%
50億～70億ドル
$1,016 Vol.
5%
70億～100億ドル
$1,197 Vol.
22%
100億〜150億
$1,748 Vol.
5%
150億ドル以上
$1,436 Vol.
4%
2028年以前にIPOなし
$739 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
音量
$90,757終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$90,757終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, without a subsequent public filing or priced offering by September, keeps trader consensus anchored near the company’s last $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 round. This explains the leading 2B–3B bucket at roughly 30 percent, with 7B–10B close behind as the next most favored outcome. Uncertainty around subscription conversion from its large user base, revenue growth rates near 20–50 percent in recent years, and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment creates the tight spread. A public S-1 release, stronger metrics, or favorable market conditions for fitness platforms could widen separation toward higher brackets, while further delays or softer demand would reinforce the lower range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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