Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.usへ

icon for OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？
財務·IPO

OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？

icon for OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？
財務·IPO

OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？

Polymarket

$1,530,887 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,530,887 Vol.

8,000億ドル

$110,877 Vol.

93%

1兆ドル

$1,049,378 Vol.

95%

1.2兆ドル

$249,448 Vol.

92%

1.4兆ドル

$69,355 Vol.

90%

1.6兆ドル

$51,829 Vol.

75%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its subsequent decision to forgo a September listing window have centered trader focus on the company’s $1 trillion valuation target. Last valued at $852 billion post-money after its March 2026 round, OpenAI is generating an approximately $24 billion annualized revenue run rate while projecting substantial 2026 operating losses near $14 billion. CFO Sarah Friar’s August comments pointing to a 2027 debut—or sooner only with stronger business inflection—reflect caution amid volatile AI-sector multiples and the SpaceX IPO precedent. Market-implied odds for an above-$1 trillion closing market cap at debut hinge on continued revenue acceleration and broader tech sentiment ahead of any 2027 roadshow.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,530,887
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its subsequent decision to forgo a September listing window have centered trader focus on the company’s $1 trillion valuation target. Last valued at $852 billion post-money after its March 2026 round, OpenAI is generating an approximately $24 billion annualized revenue run rate while projecting substantial 2026 operating losses near $14 billion. CFO Sarah Friar’s August comments pointing to a 2027 debut—or sooner only with stronger business inflection—reflect caution amid volatile AI-sector multiples and the SpaceX IPO precedent. Market-implied odds for an above-$1 trillion closing market cap at debut hinge on continued revenue acceleration and broader tech sentiment ahead of any 2027 roadshow.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,530,887
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

関連

icon for オープンAIの時価総額は2027年12月31日までにIPO初日の終値で1.5兆ドル以上になるでしょうか？

オープンAIの時価総額は2027年12月31日までにIPO初日の終値で1.5兆ドル以上になるでしょうか？

81%
はい
icon for OpenAIは2026年12月31日までに新規株式公開（IPO）しないのか？

OpenAIは2026年12月31日までに新規株式公開（IPO）しないのか？

93%
はい
icon for SpaceXとOpenAIのどちらがIPO時の時価総額が高い？

SpaceXとOpenAIのどちらがIPO時の時価総額が高い？

59%
SpaceX

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1兆ドル」で95%、次いで「8,000億ドル」が93%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」は$1.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「1兆ドル」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8,000億ドル」で93%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。