Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain and elevating the market-implied 54% probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, reflecting valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak amid softer multiples for consumer platforms and slower progress monetizing roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue across 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus in the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket at 11.9% incorporates these fundamentals while discounting near-term catalysts, as broader equity-market conditions and regulatory timing continue to influence pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年12月31日までにIPOなし 54.0%
80〜110億 11.9%
110〜140億ドル 8.2%
140〜170億 7.4%
$97,471 Vol.
$97,471 Vol.
2027/12/31
50億ドル未満
2%
50～80億ドル
2%
80〜110億
12%
110〜140億ドル
8%
140〜170億
7%
170〜200億ドル
3%
200億ドル以上
5%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
54%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし 54.0%
80〜110億 11.9%
110〜140億ドル 8.2%
140〜170億 7.4%
$97,471 Vol.
$97,471 Vol.
2027/12/31
50億ドル未満
$16,497 Vol.
2%
50～80億ドル
$5,196 Vol.
2%
80〜110億
$14,594 Vol.
12%
110〜140億ドル
$11,436 Vol.
8%
140〜170億
$3,141 Vol.
7%
170〜200億ドル
$5,633 Vol.
3%
200億ドル以上
$5,354 Vol.
5%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
$35,620 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain and elevating the market-implied 54% probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, reflecting valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak amid softer multiples for consumer platforms and slower progress monetizing roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue across 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus in the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket at 11.9% incorporates these fundamentals while discounting near-term catalysts, as broader equity-market conditions and regulatory timing continue to influence pricing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$97,471終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain and elevating the market-implied 54% probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, reflecting valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak amid softer multiples for consumer platforms and slower progress monetizing roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue across 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus in the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket at 11.9% incorporates these fundamentals while discounting near-term catalysts, as broader equity-market conditions and regulatory timing continue to influence pricing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$97,471終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public S-1, leaving the IPO timeline uncertain and elevating the market-implied 54% probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, reflecting valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak amid softer multiples for consumer platforms and slower progress monetizing roughly $600–900 million in annualized revenue across 200 million monthly active users. Trader consensus in the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket at 11.9% incorporates these fundamentals while discounting near-term catalysts, as broader equity-market conditions and regulatory timing continue to influence pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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