Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the South Carolina 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean and his established position since 2019. Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe R, consistent with the area's voting patterns and Timmons' prior general election margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or district boundaries further support trader consensus. A scheduled October debate offers one remaining platform for McClain, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウィリアム・ティモンズ（共和党）
93%
コートニー・マクレイン（民主党）
7%
$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/11/02
ウィリアム・ティモンズ（共和党）
$20,131 Vol.
93%
コートニー・マクレイン（民主党）
$23,603 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the South Carolina 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean and his established position since 2019. Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe R, consistent with the area's voting patterns and Timmons' prior general election margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or district boundaries further support trader consensus. A scheduled October debate offers one remaining platform for McClain, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the South Carolina 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean and his established position since 2019. Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe R, consistent with the area's voting patterns and Timmons' prior general election margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or district boundaries further support trader consensus. A scheduled October debate offers one remaining platform for McClain, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the South Carolina 4th congressional district race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean and his established position since 2019. Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe R, consistent with the area's voting patterns and Timmons' prior general election margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or district boundaries further support trader consensus. A scheduled October debate offers one remaining platform for McClain, though late developments such as scandals or turnout anomalies would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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