Bosnia and Herzegovina’s general elections on 4 October 2026 feature a fragmented field of parties competing under ethnic-based voting patterns and proportional representation with compensatory mandates. SNSD, SDS, SDA, NiP, DF, SDP BiH, and HDZ BiH lead the listed probabilities, yet none exceeds 45 percent, reflecting trader assessment of divided support across Bosniak, Serb, and Croat communities plus the potential for post-election coalitions. The campaign, which opened on 4 September, coincides with the debut of biometric voter identification and ballot scanners at roughly 5,000 polling stations, measures intended to curb irregularities following prior disputes. OSCE observers are deployed amid ongoing entity-level tensions and stalled EU accession talks. Late shifts in turnout within key cantons or Republika Srpska, final coalition alignments, or last-minute campaign developments could alter the narrow margins reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日SDA 44%
SDS 43%
SDP BiH 43%
NiP 40%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
SDA
44%
SDS
43%
SDP BiH
43%
NiP
40%
SNSD
38%
HDZビH
34%
DF
27%
SDA 44%
SDS 43%
SDP BiH 43%
NiP 40%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
SDA
$0 Vol.
44%
SDS
$22 Vol.
43%
SDP BiH
$21 Vol.
43%
NiP
$15 Vol.
40%
SNSD
$0 Vol.
38%
HDZビH
$38 Vol.
34%
DF
$25 Vol.
27%
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina’s general elections on 4 October 2026 feature a fragmented field of parties competing under ethnic-based voting patterns and proportional representation with compensatory mandates. SNSD, SDS, SDA, NiP, DF, SDP BiH, and HDZ BiH lead the listed probabilities, yet none exceeds 45 percent, reflecting trader assessment of divided support across Bosniak, Serb, and Croat communities plus the potential for post-election coalitions. The campaign, which opened on 4 September, coincides with the debut of biometric voter identification and ballot scanners at roughly 5,000 polling stations, measures intended to curb irregularities following prior disputes. OSCE observers are deployed amid ongoing entity-level tensions and stalled EU accession talks. Late shifts in turnout within key cantons or Republika Srpska, final coalition alignments, or last-minute campaign developments could alter the narrow margins reflected in current pricing.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
音量
$100終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina’s general elections on 4 October 2026 feature a fragmented field of parties competing under ethnic-based voting patterns and proportional representation with compensatory mandates. SNSD, SDS, SDA, NiP, DF, SDP BiH, and HDZ BiH lead the listed probabilities, yet none exceeds 45 percent, reflecting trader assessment of divided support across Bosniak, Serb, and Croat communities plus the potential for post-election coalitions. The campaign, which opened on 4 September, coincides with the debut of biometric voter identification and ballot scanners at roughly 5,000 polling stations, measures intended to curb irregularities following prior disputes. OSCE observers are deployed amid ongoing entity-level tensions and stalled EU accession talks. Late shifts in turnout within key cantons or Republika Srpska, final coalition alignments, or last-minute campaign developments could alter the narrow margins reflected in current pricing.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
音量
$100終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Bosnia and Herzegovina’s general elections on 4 October 2026 feature a fragmented field of parties competing under ethnic-based voting patterns and proportional representation with compensatory mandates. SNSD, SDS, SDA, NiP, DF, SDP BiH, and HDZ BiH lead the listed probabilities, yet none exceeds 45 percent, reflecting trader assessment of divided support across Bosniak, Serb, and Croat communities plus the potential for post-election coalitions. The campaign, which opened on 4 September, coincides with the debut of biometric voter identification and ballot scanners at roughly 5,000 polling stations, measures intended to curb irregularities following prior disputes. OSCE observers are deployed amid ongoing entity-level tensions and stalled EU accession talks. Late shifts in turnout within key cantons or Republika Srpska, final coalition alignments, or last-minute campaign developments could alter the narrow margins reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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