Incumbent Hank Johnson maintains a commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in a low-profile primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins since 2007.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
2026/11/03
ハンク・ジョンソン（民主党）
96%
ジェームズ・ダフィー（共和党）
3%
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
2026/11/03
ハンク・ジョンソン（民主党）
$29,990 Vol.
96%
ジェームズ・ダフィー（共和党）
$18,091 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hank Johnson maintains a commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in a low-profile primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins since 2007.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$48,081終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hank Johnson maintains a commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in a low-profile primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins since 2007.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,081終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hank Johnson maintains a commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Johnson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in a low-profile primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or an unprecedented turnout surge in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins since 2007.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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