The 2026 Quebec general election contest in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne remains a tight race between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie further back. The riding shifted to QS in the 2023 by-election after decades of Liberal control, reflecting its urban Montreal electorate's priorities on housing, immigration, and progressive policies. Current polling aggregates and projections treat the outcome as a near toss-up, driven by the short campaign window since the August 27 writ, incumbency visibility, and party positioning on cost-of-living and sovereignty issues. Nominations close September 17 ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving room for candidate debates, turnout shifts among anglophone and left-leaning voters, or provincial momentum changes to widen margins. Trader consensus prices align with these competitive dynamics and structural uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 59%
Anthony Lavoie 22%
Benoit Clermont 22%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
59%
Anthony Lavoie
22%
Benoit Clermont
22%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 59%
Anthony Lavoie 22%
Benoit Clermont 22%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
59%
Anthony Lavoie
22%
Benoit Clermont
22%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
The 2026 Quebec general election contest in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne remains a tight race between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie further back. The riding shifted to QS in the 2023 by-election after decades of Liberal control, reflecting its urban Montreal electorate's priorities on housing, immigration, and progressive policies. Current polling aggregates and projections treat the outcome as a near toss-up, driven by the short campaign window since the August 27 writ, incumbency visibility, and party positioning on cost-of-living and sovereignty issues. Nominations close September 17 ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving room for candidate debates, turnout shifts among anglophone and left-leaning voters, or provincial momentum changes to widen margins. Trader consensus prices align with these competitive dynamics and structural uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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