Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground among francophone voters outside Montreal to sit close behind or tied for second in several surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus around CAQ for second place at the provided odds. The Quebec Liberal Party has seen support erode in recent months, particularly among francophones, leaving it further back in most aggregates. Regional variations, including stronger CAQ performance in suburban and Quebec City areas versus Liberal strength on the Island of Montreal, contribute to the spread. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks on cost-of-living and trade issues could still shift the tight contest for runner-up status.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CAQ 60%
PLQ 21%
PQ 18%
PVQ <1%
$17,122 Vol.
$17,122 Vol.
2026/10/04
CAQ
62%
PLQ
21%
PQ
18%
PVQ
1%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
CAQ 60%
PLQ 21%
PQ 18%
PVQ <1%
$17,122 Vol.
$17,122 Vol.
2026/10/04
CAQ
$4,715 Vol.
62%
PLQ
$4,667 Vol.
21%
PQ
$4,112 Vol.
18%
PVQ
$1,226 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$904 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground among francophone voters outside Montreal to sit close behind or tied for second in several surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus around CAQ for second place at the provided odds. The Quebec Liberal Party has seen support erode in recent months, particularly among francophones, leaving it further back in most aggregates. Regional variations, including stronger CAQ performance in suburban and Quebec City areas versus Liberal strength on the Island of Montreal, contribute to the spread. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks on cost-of-living and trade issues could still shift the tight contest for runner-up status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
音量
$17,122終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground among francophone voters outside Montreal to sit close behind or tied for second in several surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus around CAQ for second place at the provided odds. The Quebec Liberal Party has seen support erode in recent months, particularly among francophones, leaving it further back in most aggregates. Regional variations, including stronger CAQ performance in suburban and Quebec City areas versus Liberal strength on the Island of Montreal, contribute to the spread. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks on cost-of-living and trade issues could still shift the tight contest for runner-up status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$17,122終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground among francophone voters outside Montreal to sit close behind or tied for second in several surveys. This positioning underpins trader consensus around CAQ for second place at the provided odds. The Quebec Liberal Party has seen support erode in recent months, particularly among francophones, leaving it further back in most aggregates. Regional variations, including stronger CAQ performance in suburban and Quebec City areas versus Liberal strength on the Island of Montreal, contribute to the spread. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks on cost-of-living and trade issues could still shift the tight contest for runner-up status.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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