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icon for Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者

icon for Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者

アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ 37%

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ 25%

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ 24%

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ 6.6%

Polymarket

$13,444 Vol.

アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ 37%

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ 25%

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ 24%

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ 6.6%

Polymarket

$13,444 Vol.

icon for アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ

アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ

$2,192 Vol.

37%

icon for タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ

$6,485 Vol.

25%

icon for トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ

$3,420 Vol.

21%

icon for セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ

$939 Vol.

7%

icon for シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ

シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ

$71 Vol.

4%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$154 Vol.

4%

icon for パテア・タヴェウヴェウ・タアマレトア・アイポヴィ・パテア

パテア・タヴェウヴェウ・タアマレトア・アイポヴィ・パテア

$183 Vol.

4%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The September 18 by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat in the Legislative Assembly stems from the Court of Appeal’s June 2026 ruling that voided former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds. A crowded field of roughly a dozen candidates, including multiple FAST nominees such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale and independents or HRPP-linked contenders like Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, has fragmented support and kept implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate nominations and limited time for withdrawals have reinforced the competitive balance, with traders viewing the outcome as sensitive to local turnout patterns, party coordination, and any late shifts in voter preferences among the main contenders before polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$13,444
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The September 18 by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat in the Legislative Assembly stems from the Court of Appeal’s June 2026 ruling that voided former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds. A crowded field of roughly a dozen candidates, including multiple FAST nominees such as Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale and independents or HRPP-linked contenders like Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko, has fragmented support and kept implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate nominations and limited time for withdrawals have reinforced the competitive balance, with traders viewing the outcome as sensitive to local turnout patterns, party coordination, and any late shifts in voter preferences among the main contenders before polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$13,444
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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よくある質問

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ」で37%、次いで「タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」は$13.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Aug 31, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。