Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th District House race due to her long record of overperforming in competitive territory and a substantial fundraising lead. The district was redrawn after 2024 to add more inland Republican-leaning counties, shifting its presidential baseline toward Donald Trump by roughly 10 points, yet Kaptur still prevailed narrowly against the same Republican opponent, Derek Merrin, in the prior cycle. Merrin secured the GOP nomination and received Trump’s endorsement earlier in the cycle, while both campaigns have focused on economic, border, and social issues including parental consent and sports participation. Forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, and limited polling shows a tight race; the current market split reflects Kaptur’s incumbency advantages and historical resilience against these structural headwinds with roughly six weeks until November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,926 Vol.
$33,926 Vol.
2026/11/03
マーシー・キャプター（民主党）
74%
デレク・メリン（共和党）
26%
$33,926 Vol.
$33,926 Vol.
2026/11/03
マーシー・キャプター（民主党）
$7,188 Vol.
74%
デレク・メリン（共和党）
$26,738 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th District House race due to her long record of overperforming in competitive territory and a substantial fundraising lead. The district was redrawn after 2024 to add more inland Republican-leaning counties, shifting its presidential baseline toward Donald Trump by roughly 10 points, yet Kaptur still prevailed narrowly against the same Republican opponent, Derek Merrin, in the prior cycle. Merrin secured the GOP nomination and received Trump’s endorsement earlier in the cycle, while both campaigns have focused on economic, border, and social issues including parental consent and sports participation. Forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, and limited polling shows a tight race; the current market split reflects Kaptur’s incumbency advantages and historical resilience against these structural headwinds with roughly six weeks until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$33,926終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th District House race due to her long record of overperforming in competitive territory and a substantial fundraising lead. The district was redrawn after 2024 to add more inland Republican-leaning counties, shifting its presidential baseline toward Donald Trump by roughly 10 points, yet Kaptur still prevailed narrowly against the same Republican opponent, Derek Merrin, in the prior cycle. Merrin secured the GOP nomination and received Trump’s endorsement earlier in the cycle, while both campaigns have focused on economic, border, and social issues including parental consent and sports participation. Forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, and limited polling shows a tight race; the current market split reflects Kaptur’s incumbency advantages and historical resilience against these structural headwinds with roughly six weeks until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,926終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th District House race due to her long record of overperforming in competitive territory and a substantial fundraising lead. The district was redrawn after 2024 to add more inland Republican-leaning counties, shifting its presidential baseline toward Donald Trump by roughly 10 points, yet Kaptur still prevailed narrowly against the same Republican opponent, Derek Merrin, in the prior cycle. Merrin secured the GOP nomination and received Trump’s endorsement earlier in the cycle, while both campaigns have focused on economic, border, and social issues including parental consent and sports participation. Forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, and limited polling shows a tight race; the current market split reflects Kaptur’s incumbency advantages and historical resilience against these structural headwinds with roughly six weeks until November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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