Cait Conley holds a modest edge in the NY-17 House race trader consensus following her June primary victory over multiple Democratic challengers, positioning her as the nominee in a district rated toss-up by major forecasters. The Hudson Valley seat narrowly backed Kamala Harris in 2024 yet returned incumbent Republican Mike Lawler by a wider margin, reflecting its swing character with more registered Democrats than Republicans. Conley's Army veteran and national security background has drawn endorsements from groups like Vote Vets and figures including Pete Buttigieg, who is scheduled to appear at a September 16 rally, while Lawler benefits from stronger fundraising and prior success defending the seat. Scheduled debates in late September and October, along with national midterm dynamics affecting House control, remain key variables that could shift positioning before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,847 Vol.
$14,847 Vol.
2026/11/03
ケイト・コンリー（民主党）
58%
マイク・ローラー（共和党）
41%
$14,847 Vol.
$14,847 Vol.
2026/11/03
ケイト・コンリー（民主党）
$6,185 Vol.
58%
マイク・ローラー（共和党）
$8,662 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley holds a modest edge in the NY-17 House race trader consensus following her June primary victory over multiple Democratic challengers, positioning her as the nominee in a district rated toss-up by major forecasters. The Hudson Valley seat narrowly backed Kamala Harris in 2024 yet returned incumbent Republican Mike Lawler by a wider margin, reflecting its swing character with more registered Democrats than Republicans. Conley's Army veteran and national security background has drawn endorsements from groups like Vote Vets and figures including Pete Buttigieg, who is scheduled to appear at a September 16 rally, while Lawler benefits from stronger fundraising and prior success defending the seat. Scheduled debates in late September and October, along with national midterm dynamics affecting House control, remain key variables that could shift positioning before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
音量
$14,847終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley holds a modest edge in the NY-17 House race trader consensus following her June primary victory over multiple Democratic challengers, positioning her as the nominee in a district rated toss-up by major forecasters. The Hudson Valley seat narrowly backed Kamala Harris in 2024 yet returned incumbent Republican Mike Lawler by a wider margin, reflecting its swing character with more registered Democrats than Republicans. Conley's Army veteran and national security background has drawn endorsements from groups like Vote Vets and figures including Pete Buttigieg, who is scheduled to appear at a September 16 rally, while Lawler benefits from stronger fundraising and prior success defending the seat. Scheduled debates in late September and October, along with national midterm dynamics affecting House control, remain key variables that could shift positioning before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,847終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Cait Conley holds a modest edge in the NY-17 House race trader consensus following her June primary victory over multiple Democratic challengers, positioning her as the nominee in a district rated toss-up by major forecasters. The Hudson Valley seat narrowly backed Kamala Harris in 2024 yet returned incumbent Republican Mike Lawler by a wider margin, reflecting its swing character with more registered Democrats than Republicans. Conley's Army veteran and national security background has drawn endorsements from groups like Vote Vets and figures including Pete Buttigieg, who is scheduled to appear at a September 16 rally, while Lawler benefits from stronger fundraising and prior success defending the seat. Scheduled debates in late September and October, along with national midterm dynamics affecting House control, remain key variables that could shift positioning before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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