Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the district covering Staten Island and southern Brooklyn has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, bolstered by her incumbency, strong fundraising exceeding $2.7 million, and endorsements from labor groups and former President Trump. She faced no primary opposition after clearing the June 23 ballot, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination in a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds of an upset. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts could narrow the gap before November 3, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,178 Vol.
$26,178 Vol.
2026/11/02
ニコール・マリオタキス（共和党）
94%
マイケル・デシリス（民主党）
7%
$26,178 Vol.
$26,178 Vol.
2026/11/02
ニコール・マリオタキス（共和党）
$12,885 Vol.
94%
マイケル・デシリス（民主党）
$13,293 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the district covering Staten Island and southern Brooklyn has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, bolstered by her incumbency, strong fundraising exceeding $2.7 million, and endorsements from labor groups and former President Trump. She faced no primary opposition after clearing the June 23 ballot, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination in a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds of an upset. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts could narrow the gap before November 3, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$26,178終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the district covering Staten Island and southern Brooklyn has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, bolstered by her incumbency, strong fundraising exceeding $2.7 million, and endorsements from labor groups and former President Trump. She faced no primary opposition after clearing the June 23 ballot, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination in a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds of an upset. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts could narrow the gap before November 3, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,178終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the district covering Staten Island and southern Brooklyn has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, bolstered by her incumbency, strong fundraising exceeding $2.7 million, and endorsements from labor groups and former President Trump. She faced no primary opposition after clearing the June 23 ballot, while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his nomination in a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds of an upset. A major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts could narrow the gap before November 3, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問