Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. She secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway, building on a surprise primary victory over better-known challengers. The suburban North Jersey district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including consistent margins for prior officeholders. Hathaway, a local Republican official, has not shown signs of closing the gap in polling or fundraising since the special. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited recent developments that would alter the race trajectory. Late shifts could still occur from national political waves, turnout surges, or unforeseen events before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,635 Vol.
$39,635 Vol.
2026/11/02
アナリリア・メヒア（民主党）
96%
ジョー・ハサウェイ（共和党）
6%
$39,635 Vol.
$39,635 Vol.
2026/11/02
アナリリア・メヒア（民主党）
$23,615 Vol.
96%
ジョー・ハサウェイ（共和党）
$16,021 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. She secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway, building on a surprise primary victory over better-known challengers. The suburban North Jersey district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including consistent margins for prior officeholders. Hathaway, a local Republican official, has not shown signs of closing the gap in polling or fundraising since the special. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited recent developments that would alter the race trajectory. Late shifts could still occur from national political waves, turnout surges, or unforeseen events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,635終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. She secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway, building on a surprise primary victory over better-known challengers. The suburban North Jersey district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including consistent margins for prior officeholders. Hathaway, a local Republican official, has not shown signs of closing the gap in polling or fundraising since the special. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited recent developments that would alter the race trajectory. Late shifts could still occur from national political waves, turnout surges, or unforeseen events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,635終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. She secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway, building on a surprise primary victory over better-known challengers. The suburban North Jersey district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including consistent margins for prior officeholders. Hathaway, a local Republican official, has not shown signs of closing the gap in polling or fundraising since the special. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited recent developments that would alter the race trajectory. Late shifts could still occur from national political waves, turnout surges, or unforeseen events before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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