The four races comprising the core—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—remain toss-ups or near-toss-ups heading into the November 2026 midterms, producing trader consensus around a 56.5% chance Democrats sweep all four. Democrats defend an open Michigan seat and Jon Ossoff’s narrow Georgia incumbency while targeting an open North Carolina contest where Roy Cooper leads and Susan Collins’ Maine reelection bid, with polling and fundraising showing tight margins in each. The national environment, marked by President Trump’s approval ratings and economic concerns, has narrowed Republican advantages in these battlegrounds, though Democrats must still hold their vulnerable seats to achieve the sweep. Election Day on November 3 provides the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle shifts expected absent major developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
56% 確率
$22,157 Vol.
$22,157 Vol.
2026/11/02
はい
56% 確率
$22,157 Vol.
$22,157 Vol.
2026/11/02
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The four races comprising the core—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—remain toss-ups or near-toss-ups heading into the November 2026 midterms, producing trader consensus around a 56.5% chance Democrats sweep all four. Democrats defend an open Michigan seat and Jon Ossoff’s narrow Georgia incumbency while targeting an open North Carolina contest where Roy Cooper leads and Susan Collins’ Maine reelection bid, with polling and fundraising showing tight margins in each. The national environment, marked by President Trump’s approval ratings and economic concerns, has narrowed Republican advantages in these battlegrounds, though Democrats must still hold their vulnerable seats to achieve the sweep. Election Day on November 3 provides the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle shifts expected absent major developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$22,157終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The four races comprising the core—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—remain toss-ups or near-toss-ups heading into the November 2026 midterms, producing trader consensus around a 56.5% chance Democrats sweep all four. Democrats defend an open Michigan seat and Jon Ossoff’s narrow Georgia incumbency while targeting an open North Carolina contest where Roy Cooper leads and Susan Collins’ Maine reelection bid, with polling and fundraising showing tight margins in each. The national environment, marked by President Trump’s approval ratings and economic concerns, has narrowed Republican advantages in these battlegrounds, though Democrats must still hold their vulnerable seats to achieve the sweep. Election Day on November 3 provides the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle shifts expected absent major developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
音量
$22,157終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The four races comprising the core—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—remain toss-ups or near-toss-ups heading into the November 2026 midterms, producing trader consensus around a 56.5% chance Democrats sweep all four. Democrats defend an open Michigan seat and Jon Ossoff’s narrow Georgia incumbency while targeting an open North Carolina contest where Roy Cooper leads and Susan Collins’ Maine reelection bid, with polling and fundraising showing tight margins in each. The national environment, marked by President Trump’s approval ratings and economic concerns, has narrowed Republican advantages in these battlegrounds, though Democrats must still hold their vulnerable seats to achieve the sweep. Election Day on November 3 provides the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle shifts expected absent major developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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