LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election because the district ranks among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with strong Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin and benefits from unified local party support as the incumbent first elected in the 2024 special election. Carmen Bucco, the Republican nominee and a repeat candidate, faces structural barriers in a majority-minority, urban district centered on Newark. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as the resolution of McIver’s pending federal case or an unusually strong national Republican environment could still alter turnout dynamics before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,537 Vol.
$50,537 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラモニカ・マクアイバー（民主党）
95%
カルメン・ブッコ（共和党）
4%
$50,537 Vol.
$50,537 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラモニカ・マクアイバー（民主党）
$14,025 Vol.
95%
カルメン・ブッコ（共和党）
$36,511 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election because the district ranks among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with strong Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin and benefits from unified local party support as the incumbent first elected in the 2024 special election. Carmen Bucco, the Republican nominee and a repeat candidate, faces structural barriers in a majority-minority, urban district centered on Newark. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as the resolution of McIver’s pending federal case or an unusually strong national Republican environment could still alter turnout dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$50,537終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election because the district ranks among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with strong Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin and benefits from unified local party support as the incumbent first elected in the 2024 special election. Carmen Bucco, the Republican nominee and a repeat candidate, faces structural barriers in a majority-minority, urban district centered on Newark. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as the resolution of McIver’s pending federal case or an unusually strong national Republican environment could still alter turnout dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$50,537終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election because the district ranks among the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with strong Democratic voter registration advantages and consistent margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin and benefits from unified local party support as the incumbent first elected in the 2024 special election. Carmen Bucco, the Republican nominee and a repeat candidate, faces structural barriers in a majority-minority, urban district centered on Newark. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as the resolution of McIver’s pending federal case or an unusually strong national Republican environment could still alter turnout dynamics before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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