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icon for Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?

Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?

icon for Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?

Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?

$18,274 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$18,274 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$7,183 Vol.

はい

10月31日

$4,127 Vol.

はい

12月31日

$6,964 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ren Zhengfei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Recent rumors of Ren Zhengfei’s disappearance, sparked by China’s mid-September 2026 exit restrictions targeting national security and tech figures, have dominated trader focus after his last confirmed public sighting around September 11. These rules, combined with unverified social media claims of a family departure by sea and internal Huawei contact issues, have kept probabilities skewed toward a December 31 resolution despite his daughter Annabel Yao’s September 14 Beijing appearance failing to confirm his status. Huawei’s push into AI accelerators, Ascend chips, and EV collaborations like the upcoming Epicland X9 launch add pressure for a visible leadership signal, yet no official statements or sightings have materialized as of late September. Traders monitor upcoming Huawei events, regulatory filings, and any credible photo or video evidence that could shift the closely watched September 30 and October 31 windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ren Zhengfei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ren Zhengfei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$18,274
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 7:36 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070be91...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ren Zhengfei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Recent rumors of Ren Zhengfei’s disappearance, sparked by China’s mid-September 2026 exit restrictions targeting national security and tech figures, have dominated trader focus after his last confirmed public sighting around September 11. These rules, combined with unverified social media claims of a family departure by sea and internal Huawei contact issues, have kept probabilities skewed toward a December 31 resolution despite his daughter Annabel Yao’s September 14 Beijing appearance failing to confirm his status. Huawei’s push into AI accelerators, Ascend chips, and EV collaborations like the upcoming Epicland X9 launch add pressure for a visible leadership signal, yet no official statements or sightings have materialized as of late September. Traders monitor upcoming Huawei events, regulatory filings, and any credible photo or video evidence that could shift the closely watched September 30 and October 31 windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ren Zhengfei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ren Zhengfei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$18,274
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 7:36 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070be91...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「9月30日」で100%、次いで「10月31日」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?」は$18.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「9月30日」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10月31日」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ren Zhengfeiが公の場に姿を現すのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。