Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Kentucky’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat centered on Louisville with a D+19 to D+24 partisan lean. He faces no primary opposition and has raised over $1.6 million compared to Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez’s roughly $38,000 following her May 2026 primary win. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for McGarvey reflects these structural advantages, including consistent prior victories exceeding 60% of the vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or national political shift altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,774 Vol.
$40,774 Vol.
2026/11/02
モーガン・マクガーヴィー（民主党）
95%
マリア・ロドリゲス（共和党）
5%
$40,774 Vol.
$40,774 Vol.
2026/11/02
モーガン・マクガーヴィー（民主党）
$17,773 Vol.
95%
マリア・ロドリゲス（共和党）
$23,000 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Kentucky’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat centered on Louisville with a D+19 to D+24 partisan lean. He faces no primary opposition and has raised over $1.6 million compared to Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez’s roughly $38,000 following her May 2026 primary win. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for McGarvey reflects these structural advantages, including consistent prior victories exceeding 60% of the vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or national political shift altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$40,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Kentucky’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat centered on Louisville with a D+19 to D+24 partisan lean. He faces no primary opposition and has raised over $1.6 million compared to Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez’s roughly $38,000 following her May 2026 primary win. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for McGarvey reflects these structural advantages, including consistent prior victories exceeding 60% of the vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or national political shift altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Kentucky’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly blue seat centered on Louisville with a D+19 to D+24 partisan lean. He faces no primary opposition and has raised over $1.6 million compared to Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez’s roughly $38,000 following her May 2026 primary win. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for McGarvey reflects these structural advantages, including consistent prior victories exceeding 60% of the vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or national political shift altering turnout dynamics in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問