Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,738 Vol.
$29,738 Vol.
2026/11/02
シャリース・デイヴィッズ（民主党）
95%
エリック・ジェンキンス（共和党）
6%
$29,738 Vol.
$29,738 Vol.
2026/11/02
シャリース・デイヴィッズ（民主党）
$11,466 Vol.
95%
エリック・ジェンキンス（共和党）
$18,273 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$29,738終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,738終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding lead in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race due to her established record of double-digit victories, including a 10.8-point margin in 2024, combined with strong primary performance where she defeated a Democratic challenger 83% to 17% on August 4. The district's partisan lean and forecaster ratings as Solid or Likely Democratic further support trader consensus around her reelection. Recent developments, such as Davids securing an $8.3 million federal grant for teacher recruitment and retention announced September 9, reinforce her position through visible constituent-focused actions. Limited public polling and modest Republican challenger Eric Jenkins' fundraising constrain shifts in sentiment. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a significant national Republican midterm surge, late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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