OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut—explicitly signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August after the September window passed—anchor trader sentiment on the IPO raise size. The company’s March $122 billion private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor and ongoing multi-billion-dollar compute commitments, supports expectations of a large offering to fund operations while preserving valuation. With annualized revenue near $25 billion and persistent losses, the 45.5% implied probability on a $100 billion-plus raise reflects market-implied odds for a scaled capital raise at elevated multiples, tempered by uncertainty over exact timing and public-market reception relative to peers like Anthropic.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$100B+ 41%
<$30B 24.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
新規
新規
2027/12/30
<$30B
24%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
45%
$100B+ 41%
<$30B 24.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
新規
新規
2027/12/30
<$30B
$603 Vol.
24%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
23%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
19%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
3%
$100B+
$1,742 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut—explicitly signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August after the September window passed—anchor trader sentiment on the IPO raise size. The company’s March $122 billion private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor and ongoing multi-billion-dollar compute commitments, supports expectations of a large offering to fund operations while preserving valuation. With annualized revenue near $25 billion and persistent losses, the 45.5% implied probability on a $100 billion-plus raise reflects market-implied odds for a scaled capital raise at elevated multiples, tempered by uncertainty over exact timing and public-market reception relative to peers like Anthropic.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
音量
$7,324終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut—explicitly signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August after the September window passed—anchor trader sentiment on the IPO raise size. The company’s March $122 billion private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor and ongoing multi-billion-dollar compute commitments, supports expectations of a large offering to fund operations while preserving valuation. With annualized revenue near $25 billion and persistent losses, the 45.5% implied probability on a $100 billion-plus raise reflects market-implied odds for a scaled capital raise at elevated multiples, tempered by uncertainty over exact timing and public-market reception relative to peers like Anthropic.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$7,324終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift toward a 2027 debut—explicitly signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August after the September window passed—anchor trader sentiment on the IPO raise size. The company’s March $122 billion private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor and ongoing multi-billion-dollar compute commitments, supports expectations of a large offering to fund operations while preserving valuation. With annualized revenue near $25 billion and persistent losses, the 45.5% implied probability on a $100 billion-plus raise reflects market-implied odds for a scaled capital raise at elevated multiples, tempered by uncertainty over exact timing and public-market reception relative to peers like Anthropic.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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