**Sustained interior enforcement and elevated arrest volumes have positioned 2026 deportation totals near the 400-500k range.** ICE reported 356k removals through mid-July in fiscal year 2026, exceeding the prior year’s pace and approaching the 2013 record of 438k, supported by monthly arrests exceeding 50k in July and August plus expanded detention capacity. Deportation rates have held around 1,200 per day amid logistical, diplomatic, and legal constraints that have prevented arrests from translating directly into removals. A recent federal appeals court ruling limiting third-country deportations without notice or safety reviews adds procedural hurdles, while administration priorities continue to emphasize criminal and recent arrivals alongside broader interior operations. Trader pricing reflects these enforcement trends tempered by capacity limits rather than the higher totals sometimes cited when including border actions or self-deportations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40万〜50万人 80%
50万～60万人 10.4%
30万〜40万人 9%
60万〜70万人 1.8%
$125,023 Vol.
$125,023 Vol.
20万人未満
2%
20万～30万人
1%
30万〜40万人
9%
40万〜50万人
72%
50万～60万人
9%
60万〜70万人
2%
70万〜80万人
1%
80万～90万人
1%
90万人〜100万人
1%
100万人超
2%
40万〜50万人 80%
50万～60万人 10.4%
30万〜40万人 9%
60万〜70万人 1.8%
$125,023 Vol.
$125,023 Vol.
20万人未満
2%
20万～30万人
1%
30万〜40万人
9%
40万〜50万人
72%
50万～60万人
9%
60万〜70万人
2%
70万〜80万人
1%
80万～90万人
1%
90万人〜100万人
1%
100万人超
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Sustained interior enforcement and elevated arrest volumes have positioned 2026 deportation totals near the 400-500k range.** ICE reported 356k removals through mid-July in fiscal year 2026, exceeding the prior year’s pace and approaching the 2013 record of 438k, supported by monthly arrests exceeding 50k in July and August plus expanded detention capacity. Deportation rates have held around 1,200 per day amid logistical, diplomatic, and legal constraints that have prevented arrests from translating directly into removals. A recent federal appeals court ruling limiting third-country deportations without notice or safety reviews adds procedural hurdles, while administration priorities continue to emphasize criminal and recent arrivals alongside broader interior operations. Trader pricing reflects these enforcement trends tempered by capacity limits rather than the higher totals sometimes cited when including border actions or self-deportations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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