The crowded field in Louisiana's open jungle primary for the 6th District, set for November 3, 2026, drives the strong trader consensus against an outright majority winner. With Cleo Fields stepping aside after redistricting shifted the Baton Rouge-area seat toward Republicans, ten candidates—including Democrats Chauna Banks and Pat Forbes alongside Republicans Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez—have split support. An August poll showed the top contender at just 19 percent amid 40 percent undecided voters, reflecting fragmented preferences typical of such multi-candidate contests. This setup aligns with Louisiana's majority-vote rules, where the absence of a 50 percent threshold usually triggers a December runoff between the top two finishers. Late consolidation behind one contender or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
3% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.The crowded field in Louisiana's open jungle primary for the 6th District, set for November 3, 2026, drives the strong trader consensus against an outright majority winner. With Cleo Fields stepping aside after redistricting shifted the Baton Rouge-area seat toward Republicans, ten candidates—including Democrats Chauna Banks and Pat Forbes alongside Republicans Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez—have split support. An August poll showed the top contender at just 19 percent amid 40 percent undecided voters, reflecting fragmented preferences typical of such multi-candidate contests. This setup aligns with Louisiana's majority-vote rules, where the absence of a 50 percent threshold usually triggers a December runoff between the top two finishers. Late consolidation behind one contender or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
音量
$1,556終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.The crowded field in Louisiana's open jungle primary for the 6th District, set for November 3, 2026, drives the strong trader consensus against an outright majority winner. With Cleo Fields stepping aside after redistricting shifted the Baton Rouge-area seat toward Republicans, ten candidates—including Democrats Chauna Banks and Pat Forbes alongside Republicans Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez—have split support. An August poll showed the top contender at just 19 percent amid 40 percent undecided voters, reflecting fragmented preferences typical of such multi-candidate contests. This setup aligns with Louisiana's majority-vote rules, where the absence of a 50 percent threshold usually triggers a December runoff between the top two finishers. Late consolidation behind one contender or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
音量
$1,556終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The crowded field in Louisiana's open jungle primary for the 6th District, set for November 3, 2026, drives the strong trader consensus against an outright majority winner. With Cleo Fields stepping aside after redistricting shifted the Baton Rouge-area seat toward Republicans, ten candidates—including Democrats Chauna Banks and Pat Forbes alongside Republicans Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez—have split support. An August poll showed the top contender at just 19 percent amid 40 percent undecided voters, reflecting fragmented preferences typical of such multi-candidate contests. This setup aligns with Louisiana's majority-vote rules, where the absence of a 50 percent threshold usually triggers a December runoff between the top two finishers. Late consolidation behind one contender or unusually high turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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