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icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

$68,760 Vol.

30 dic 2026
Polymarket

$68,760 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,619 Vol.

90%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$2,161 Vol.

88%

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Pete Buttigieg

$111 Vol.

86%

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Gavin Newsom

$3,546 Vol.

82%

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Andy Beshear

$28 Vol.

78%

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Rahm Emanuel

$70 Vol.

74%

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Kamala Harris

$1,088 Vol.

73%

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Cory Booker

$885 Vol.

65%

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Andrew Yang

$1,802 Vol.

70%

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J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

66%

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Josh Shapiro

$136 Vol.

64%

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Ron DeSantis

$513 Vol.

81%

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Mark Kelly

$126 Vol.

64%

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Wes Moore

$150 Vol.

63%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,976 Vol.

63%

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Josh Hawley

$3,064 Vol.

58%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,607 Vol.

57%

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Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

53%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

52%

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Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

49%

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Nikki Haley

$100 Vol.

39%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$835 Vol.

39%

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Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

36%

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Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

36%

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Hunter Biden

$3,923 Vol.

35%

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Raphael Warnock

$120 Vol.

35%

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Elise Stefanik

$20 Vol.

30%

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30%

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$451 Vol.

30%

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$468 Vol.

29%

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Don Lemon

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28%

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28%

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Beto O’Rourke

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27%

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Tucker Carlson

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26%

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John Fetterman

$1,778 Vol.

25%

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25%

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Marco Rubio

$1,839 Vol.

24%

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Greg Abbott

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24%

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22%

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22%

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$64 Vol.

22%

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21%

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20%

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Donald Trump Jr.

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19%

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18%

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18%

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$888 Vol.

16%

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$203 Vol.

16%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,138 Vol.

16%

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$20 Vol.

15%

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Roy Cooper

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15%

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15%

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$1,660 Vol.

14%

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Barack Obama

$628 Vol.

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$99 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of September 2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its early exploratory phase following Donald Trump’s term-limited tenure, with major party contenders largely avoiding formal announcements ahead of the November midterms. Potential Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio have engaged in early-state travel and donor outreach while emphasizing current roles, and Democratic names including Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, and Andy Beshear have signaled interest through interviews, PAC activity, and polling visibility without launching campaigns. A handful of lesser-known Republican entrants filed exploratory committees or declared in mid-2026, but established contenders continue to prioritize midterm outcomes and party positioning. Resolution timing hinges on formal FEC filings and public declarations before January 2028, with post-midterm momentum likely accelerating visible moves.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,760
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of September 2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its early exploratory phase following Donald Trump’s term-limited tenure, with major party contenders largely avoiding formal announcements ahead of the November midterms. Potential Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio have engaged in early-state travel and donor outreach while emphasizing current roles, and Democratic names including Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, and Andy Beshear have signaled interest through interviews, PAC activity, and polling visibility without launching campaigns. A handful of lesser-known Republican entrants filed exploratory committees or declared in mid-2026, but established contenders continue to prioritize midterm outcomes and party positioning. Resolution timing hinges on formal FEC filings and public declarations before January 2028, with post-midterm momentum likely accelerating visible moves.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,760
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "J.D. Vance" a 90%, seguito da "Ted Cruz" a 88%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" ha generato $68.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" è "J.D. Vance" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ted Cruz" a 88%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.