Recent polling averages position Likud in the low-20s seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting sustained pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s party from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar list and broader voter fatigue with the governing coalition. Multiple surveys from mid-September show Likud between 18 and 27 seats, with bloc projections for Netanyahu-aligned parties averaging 51–55 seats—short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This stems from competitive dynamics with opposition parties, including Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together, alongside stable ultra-Orthodox and far-right support that has not offset Likud’s relative weakness. Traders’ consensus on 20–24 seats as the leading outcome aligns with these consistent poll trends and the absence of major shifts in the final campaign month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato20-24 36%
25-29 25%
<20 21.2%
30-34 11%
$199,857 Vol.
$199,857 Vol.
26 ott 2026
<20
21%
20-24
36%
25-29
25%
30-34
11%
35+
2%
20-24 36%
25-29 25%
<20 21.2%
30-34 11%
$199,857 Vol.
$199,857 Vol.
26 ott 2026
<20
$57,859 Vol.
21%
20-24
$24,492 Vol.
36%
25-29
$44,703 Vol.
25%
30-34
$57,287 Vol.
11%
35+
$15,516 Vol.
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages position Likud in the low-20s seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting sustained pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s party from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar list and broader voter fatigue with the governing coalition. Multiple surveys from mid-September show Likud between 18 and 27 seats, with bloc projections for Netanyahu-aligned parties averaging 51–55 seats—short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This stems from competitive dynamics with opposition parties, including Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together, alongside stable ultra-Orthodox and far-right support that has not offset Likud’s relative weakness. Traders’ consensus on 20–24 seats as the leading outcome aligns with these consistent poll trends and the absence of major shifts in the final campaign month.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$199,857Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages position Likud in the low-20s seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting sustained pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s party from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar list and broader voter fatigue with the governing coalition. Multiple surveys from mid-September show Likud between 18 and 27 seats, with bloc projections for Netanyahu-aligned parties averaging 51–55 seats—short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This stems from competitive dynamics with opposition parties, including Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together, alongside stable ultra-Orthodox and far-right support that has not offset Likud’s relative weakness. Traders’ consensus on 20–24 seats as the leading outcome aligns with these consistent poll trends and the absence of major shifts in the final campaign month.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$199,857Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position Likud in the low-20s seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting sustained pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s party from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar list and broader voter fatigue with the governing coalition. Multiple surveys from mid-September show Likud between 18 and 27 seats, with bloc projections for Netanyahu-aligned parties averaging 51–55 seats—short of the 61-seat majority threshold. This stems from competitive dynamics with opposition parties, including Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together, alongside stable ultra-Orthodox and far-right support that has not offset Likud’s relative weakness. Traders’ consensus on 20–24 seats as the leading outcome aligns with these consistent poll trends and the absence of major shifts in the final campaign month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti