Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di IA Text Arena Math alla fine di novembre?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di IA Text Arena Math alla fine di novembre?
Anthropic 40.3%
Google 18%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 8.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
Anthropic
40%
18%
OpenAI
18%
Z.ai
9%
Nvidia
4%
Meituan
4%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Thinky
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
9%
Anthropic 40.3%
Google 18%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 8.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
Anthropic
$2,520 Vol.
40%
$1,240 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$1,112 Vol.
18%
Z.ai
$173 Vol.
9%
Nvidia
$479 Vol.
4%
Meituan
$1,346 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$115 Vol.
2%
Alibaba
$100 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$121 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$129 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$133 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$133 Vol.
1%
Meta
$133 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$133 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$148 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$165 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$120 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$133 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$133 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$133 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$379 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$9,077Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$9,077Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti