Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, under the country’s direct democracy system requiring popular and often cantonal majorities. These include a mandatory referendum on raising value-added tax by 0.4 percentage points to fund a 13th monthly AHV pension payment, a popular initiative for broad restrictions on private fireworks, the Centre Party’s initiative to address the federal tax “marriage penalty” through joint taxation, and an optional referendum on parliament’s amendment easing rules for war material exports and re-exports. Recent ballots have shown voters favoring measured economic adjustments while rejecting sharper restrictions on immigration or neutrality, with outcomes often hinging on turnout among centrist and rural blocs. No late-breaking events have altered the scheduled proposals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoReferendum di novembre in Svizzera: cosa passerà?
Decreto federale sull’IVA
65%
Iniziativa per la restrizione dei fuochi d'artificio
21%
Iniziativa sulla tassazione del matrimonio
17%
Emendamento sul materiale bellico
52%
$7,545 Vol.
Decreto federale sull’IVA
65%
Iniziativa per la restrizione dei fuochi d'artificio
21%
Iniziativa sulla tassazione del matrimonio
17%
Emendamento sul materiale bellico
52%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, under the country’s direct democracy system requiring popular and often cantonal majorities. These include a mandatory referendum on raising value-added tax by 0.4 percentage points to fund a 13th monthly AHV pension payment, a popular initiative for broad restrictions on private fireworks, the Centre Party’s initiative to address the federal tax “marriage penalty” through joint taxation, and an optional referendum on parliament’s amendment easing rules for war material exports and re-exports. Recent ballots have shown voters favoring measured economic adjustments while rejecting sharper restrictions on immigration or neutrality, with outcomes often hinging on turnout among centrist and rural blocs. No late-breaking events have altered the scheduled proposals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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