The Senate's repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act (H.R. 22/SAVE America Act) explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. The bill passed the House in February 2026 on a 218-213 vote but has stalled in the upper chamber, where it requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Key Republican senators including Collins, Murkowski, McConnell, and Tillis joined Democrats to defeat it as an amendment in June and blocked efforts to attach it to must-pass measures like the NDAA in July. Senate Majority Leader Thune has stated there is insufficient support for further floor action this session. While President Trump has prioritized the measure and tied it to other legislation, these structural barriers and cross-aisle opposition have kept passage prospects low through the remainder of the year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
7% probabilità
$190,858 Vol.
$190,858 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$190,858 Vol.
$190,858 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act (H.R. 22/SAVE America Act) explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. The bill passed the House in February 2026 on a 218-213 vote but has stalled in the upper chamber, where it requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Key Republican senators including Collins, Murkowski, McConnell, and Tillis joined Democrats to defeat it as an amendment in June and blocked efforts to attach it to must-pass measures like the NDAA in July. Senate Majority Leader Thune has stated there is insufficient support for further floor action this session. While President Trump has prioritized the measure and tied it to other legislation, these structural barriers and cross-aisle opposition have kept passage prospects low through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$190,858Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act (H.R. 22/SAVE America Act) explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. The bill passed the House in February 2026 on a 218-213 vote but has stalled in the upper chamber, where it requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Key Republican senators including Collins, Murkowski, McConnell, and Tillis joined Democrats to defeat it as an amendment in June and blocked efforts to attach it to must-pass measures like the NDAA in July. Senate Majority Leader Thune has stated there is insufficient support for further floor action this session. While President Trump has prioritized the measure and tied it to other legislation, these structural barriers and cross-aisle opposition have kept passage prospects low through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,858Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Senate's repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act (H.R. 22/SAVE America Act) explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. The bill passed the House in February 2026 on a 218-213 vote but has stalled in the upper chamber, where it requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Key Republican senators including Collins, Murkowski, McConnell, and Tillis joined Democrats to defeat it as an amendment in June and blocked efforts to attach it to must-pass measures like the NDAA in July. Senate Majority Leader Thune has stated there is insufficient support for further floor action this session. While President Trump has prioritized the measure and tied it to other legislation, these structural barriers and cross-aisle opposition have kept passage prospects low through the remainder of the year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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