Russia’s Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot in mid-August after a Rodina lawsuit, upholding the removal on appeal despite initial Central Election Commission registration in July. The liberal party, which has not cleared the 5 percent proportional-representation threshold since 1999 and typically polls near 1–2 percent amid documented administrative barriers and limited media access, now lacks a nationwide list for the proportional vote. Single-mandate candidates remain in some districts, but these do not affect the party-list threshold central to the market. Trader consensus at 99.4 percent “No” reflects the confirmed exclusion weeks before voting. Further supervisory review or Constitutional Court intervention before election day remains the narrowest path that could theoretically alter the outcome.