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icon for Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska
Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska

icon for Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska
Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska

Savo Minić 59%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Bogdan Jovanović <1%

Ćamil Duraković <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Savo Minić 59%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Bogdan Jovanović <1%

Ćamil Duraković <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$3,254 Vol.

59%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,308 Vol.

36%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$263 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$320 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$346 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$310 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$312 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Savo Minić leads trader pricing at 60% for the October 4, 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election as the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) nominee and current prime minister.** The ruling party's entrenched organizational network and record of recent entity-level wins underpin this positioning, even after Milorad Dodik's six-year ban from public office shifted the ticket to Minić. Opposition candidate Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) sits at 25%, reflecting a consolidated but narrower challenger base focused on economic critiques and governance transparency. Multiple lower-probability candidates, including several Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders such as Ramiz Salkić and Ćamil Duraković, trade near zero or flat at 50% in ancillary outcomes, consistent with the Serb-majority contest dynamics and historical SNSD dominance in direct presidential votes. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in the past week, though the ongoing campaign emphasizes entity stability and jurisdictional issues ahead of the general elections.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,931
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.izbori.ba/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Savo Minić leads trader pricing at 60% for the October 4, 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election as the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) nominee and current prime minister.** The ruling party's entrenched organizational network and record of recent entity-level wins underpin this positioning, even after Milorad Dodik's six-year ban from public office shifted the ticket to Minić. Opposition candidate Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) sits at 25%, reflecting a consolidated but narrower challenger base focused on economic critiques and governance transparency. Multiple lower-probability candidates, including several Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders such as Ramiz Salkić and Ćamil Duraković, trade near zero or flat at 50% in ancillary outcomes, consistent with the Serb-majority contest dynamics and historical SNSD dominance in direct presidential votes. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in the past week, though the ongoing campaign emphasizes entity stability and jurisdictional issues ahead of the general elections.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,931
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.izbori.ba/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Denis Bećirović sarà il membro bosgnacco della Presidenza della Bosnia ed Erzegovina dopo le elezioni generali del 2026?

64%
Sì
icon for Darijana Filipović sarà il membro croato della Presidenza della Bosnia ed Erzegovina dopo le elezioni generali del 2026?

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70%
Sì
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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Savo Minić" a 59%, seguito da "Branko Blanuša" a 36%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 59¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 24, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" è "Savo Minić" a 59%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Branko Blanuša" a 36%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.