Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s durable Republican lean, reflected in consistent voting patterns and ratings such as Solid Republican from the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus. Smucker secured his nomination without primary opposition, maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion’s lower totals, and benefits from the district’s partisan composition spanning Lancaster County and southern York County. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged recently to narrow the gap. Late-breaking events, such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments, remain the primary scenarios that could realistically influence the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
$25,794 Vol.
$25,794 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Lloyd Smucker (R)
97%
Nancy Mannion (D)
2%
$25,794 Vol.
$25,794 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Lloyd Smucker (R)
$15,668 Vol.
97%
Nancy Mannion (D)
$10,126 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s durable Republican lean, reflected in consistent voting patterns and ratings such as Solid Republican from the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus. Smucker secured his nomination without primary opposition, maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion’s lower totals, and benefits from the district’s partisan composition spanning Lancaster County and southern York County. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged recently to narrow the gap. Late-breaking events, such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments, remain the primary scenarios that could realistically influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,794Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s durable Republican lean, reflected in consistent voting patterns and ratings such as Solid Republican from the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus. Smucker secured his nomination without primary opposition, maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion’s lower totals, and benefits from the district’s partisan composition spanning Lancaster County and southern York County. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged recently to narrow the gap. Late-breaking events, such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments, remain the primary scenarios that could realistically influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,794Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s durable Republican lean, reflected in consistent voting patterns and ratings such as Solid Republican from the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus. Smucker secured his nomination without primary opposition, maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion’s lower totals, and benefits from the district’s partisan composition spanning Lancaster County and southern York County. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged recently to narrow the gap. Late-breaking events, such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments, remain the primary scenarios that could realistically influence the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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