Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,635 Vol.
$39,635 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
6%
$39,635 Vol.
$39,635 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,615 Vol.
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$16,021 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$39,635Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,635Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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