Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with notable strength in the Quebec City region and surrounding ridings where it often competes directly with the CAQ and PQ. This concentration supports paths to double-digit seats if conservative francophone voters consolidate behind PCQ candidates, yet the same regional focus leaves outcomes exposed to multi-party vote splitting and turnout variations in competitive districts. Projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave cluster around 8-14 seats, with wide ranges reflecting uncertainty over efficient conversion amid PQ leads in many francophone areas. Traders price the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ ranges nearly even, underscoring how small shifts in second preferences or late campaign dynamics could separate the likely seat totals ahead of the October 5 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato8-10 25%
17+ 21.1%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<5
4%
5-7
14%
8-10
22%
11-13
21%
14-16
14%
17+
18%
8-10 25%
17+ 21.1%
11-13 21%
5-7 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<5
$1,979 Vol.
4%
5-7
$838 Vol.
14%
8-10
$1,374 Vol.
22%
11-13
$1,439 Vol.
21%
14-16
$1,017 Vol.
14%
17+
$1,072 Vol.
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with notable strength in the Quebec City region and surrounding ridings where it often competes directly with the CAQ and PQ. This concentration supports paths to double-digit seats if conservative francophone voters consolidate behind PCQ candidates, yet the same regional focus leaves outcomes exposed to multi-party vote splitting and turnout variations in competitive districts. Projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave cluster around 8-14 seats, with wide ranges reflecting uncertainty over efficient conversion amid PQ leads in many francophone areas. Traders price the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ ranges nearly even, underscoring how small shifts in second preferences or late campaign dynamics could separate the likely seat totals ahead of the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$7,719Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with notable strength in the Quebec City region and surrounding ridings where it often competes directly with the CAQ and PQ. This concentration supports paths to double-digit seats if conservative francophone voters consolidate behind PCQ candidates, yet the same regional focus leaves outcomes exposed to multi-party vote splitting and turnout variations in competitive districts. Projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave cluster around 8-14 seats, with wide ranges reflecting uncertainty over efficient conversion amid PQ leads in many francophone areas. Traders price the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ ranges nearly even, underscoring how small shifts in second preferences or late campaign dynamics could separate the likely seat totals ahead of the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$7,719Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-17% province-wide, with notable strength in the Quebec City region and surrounding ridings where it often competes directly with the CAQ and PQ. This concentration supports paths to double-digit seats if conservative francophone voters consolidate behind PCQ candidates, yet the same regional focus leaves outcomes exposed to multi-party vote splitting and turnout variations in competitive districts. Projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave cluster around 8-14 seats, with wide ranges reflecting uncertainty over efficient conversion amid PQ leads in many francophone areas. Traders price the 8-10, 11-13, and 17+ ranges nearly even, underscoring how small shifts in second preferences or late campaign dynamics could separate the likely seat totals ahead of the October 5 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti