Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
9%
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
$10,938 Vol.
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
$9,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$20,577Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,577Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in the New York 24th Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, making it the most Republican-leaning district in the state. Tenney faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2.7 million raised and $1.3 million in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s roughly $193,000. Ellman secured her nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. A single televised debate is scheduled for October 20. Trader consensus prices Tenney’s reelection prospects highly, though a major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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