Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th Congressional District due to his long incumbency, national profile as House Democratic leader, and the district’s deep Democratic lean in Brooklyn. Both he and Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, leaving little organized opposition or fundraising competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Prediction market pricing reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would typically shift voter sentiment in a safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or ethical controversy involving Jeffries, a significant national Republican wave altering turnout patterns, or an unforeseen health or legal event, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
NY-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$32,637 Vol.
$32,637 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
96%
Lewis Mizrahi (R)
3%
$32,637 Vol.
$32,637 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
$14,128 Vol.
96%
Lewis Mizrahi (R)
$18,510 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th Congressional District due to his long incumbency, national profile as House Democratic leader, and the district’s deep Democratic lean in Brooklyn. Both he and Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, leaving little organized opposition or fundraising competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Prediction market pricing reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would typically shift voter sentiment in a safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or ethical controversy involving Jeffries, a significant national Republican wave altering turnout patterns, or an unforeseen health or legal event, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,637Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th Congressional District due to his long incumbency, national profile as House Democratic leader, and the district’s deep Democratic lean in Brooklyn. Both he and Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, leaving little organized opposition or fundraising competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Prediction market pricing reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would typically shift voter sentiment in a safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or ethical controversy involving Jeffries, a significant national Republican wave altering turnout patterns, or an unforeseen health or legal event, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,637Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th Congressional District due to his long incumbency, national profile as House Democratic leader, and the district’s deep Democratic lean in Brooklyn. Both he and Republican challenger Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, leaving little organized opposition or fundraising competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Prediction market pricing reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would typically shift voter sentiment in a safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or ethical controversy involving Jeffries, a significant national Republican wave altering turnout patterns, or an unforeseen health or legal event, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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