Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his incumbency advantage, proven ability to outperform the district's presidential lean, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Mike LiPetri. The two candidates are set for a November 3 rematch after Suozzi defeated LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024, and forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi's established bipartisan record and primary strength against LiPetri's repeat-candidate status and narrower resource base. A shift in national conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Nassau and Queens precincts, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though current consensus reflects limited near-term volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$26,472 Vol.
$26,472 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,472 Vol.
$26,472 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,616 Vol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,855 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his incumbency advantage, proven ability to outperform the district's presidential lean, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Mike LiPetri. The two candidates are set for a November 3 rematch after Suozzi defeated LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024, and forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi's established bipartisan record and primary strength against LiPetri's repeat-candidate status and narrower resource base. A shift in national conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Nassau and Queens precincts, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though current consensus reflects limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$26,472Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his incumbency advantage, proven ability to outperform the district's presidential lean, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Mike LiPetri. The two candidates are set for a November 3 rematch after Suozzi defeated LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024, and forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi's established bipartisan record and primary strength against LiPetri's repeat-candidate status and narrower resource base. A shift in national conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Nassau and Queens precincts, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though current consensus reflects limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,472Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his incumbency advantage, proven ability to outperform the district's presidential lean, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Mike LiPetri. The two candidates are set for a November 3 rematch after Suozzi defeated LiPetri by roughly three points in 2024, and forecasters rate the contest as lean or likely Democratic. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi's established bipartisan record and primary strength against LiPetri's repeat-candidate status and narrower resource base. A shift in national conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban Nassau and Queens precincts, or late-cycle developments could narrow the gap, though current consensus reflects limited near-term volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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